(photo by Getty Images)
Now that the Washington Capitals’ season has come to an abrupt end and the locals have begun to settle down as the shock of the disappointing opening-round loss to the Montreal Canadiens fades away, it’s time to look ahead to next year and beyond.
The beautiful thing about the Capitals is that the core of this franchise is young – with 13 players on the final roster 26 or younger. And because Capitals general manager George McPhee and owner Ted Leonsis are smart, the bulk of the players on the roster are signed to short-term deals.
In fact, Capitals captain Alex Ovechkin still has a decade or so on his current contract and fourth-line center David Steckel is signed through 2012-13. Everyone else currently on the roster is signed for two years or less, giving the team tremendous financial flexibility moving forward.
Today we’re taking a look at which players are set to become free agents and taking a stab at who should be back and who might want to contact their preferred real estate agent this summer.
Restricted free agents
Name: Nicklas Backstrom
‘09-10 stats: 82 games played, 33 goals, 68 assists, 101 points
3-year average: 82 games played, 23 goals, 63 assists, 86 points
Outlook: Backstrom was one of just four players in the NHL this season to eclipse the 100-point mark. Since the other three players in that category (Vancouver’s Henrik Sedin, Pittsburgh’s Sidney Crosby and Ovechkin) are all finalists for the Hart Trophy, as the league’s most valuable player, it’s safe to say the 22-year-old Swede has reached elite status (even if the rest of the NHL continues to underrate Backstrom).
Backstrom has never missed a game since joining the Caps and his goals, assists, points, plus/minus and shooting percentage have improved each of his three seasons. Basically, the Capitals would be insane to let Backstrom go anywhere and they know it, so expect news of a new contract to be announced in the not-too-distant future.
No one knows for sure what kind of contract Backstrom will net, but it’s safe to assume it’ll be somewhere between $7-7.5 million per year. But if that’s what it takes to lock up this top-line center for at least five or six years, then so be it. He’s clearly a superbly talented kid who the front office can feel comfortable building the franchise around.
Name: Eric Fehr
Position: right wing
‘09-10 stats: 69 games played, 21 goals, 18 assists, 39 points
3-year average: 51 games played, 11 goals, 12 assists, 23 points
Outlook: We’ve got a confession to make. Two or three years ago, we didn’t care much for Fehr. The Capitals used the 18th overall pick in the 2003 NHL draft on him and we felt he should be more of an impact player like Anaheim’s Ryan Getzlaf, Vancouver’s Ryan Kesler and Philadelphia’s Mike Richards – all players the Caps passed up to draft Fehr.
We saw two 50-goal seasons during Fehr’s time in the minors and couldn’t wait for his arrival in Washington. Sadly, he scored a grand total of six goals in his first three seasons in D.C. and we nearly gave up on the pride of Winkler, Manitoba. Thankfully, McPhee has more patience than we do.
Fehr’s salary this season was $771,750, which would seem to be a bargain for a 24-year-old who scores 20 goals a year. Let’s say through arbitration, Fehr’s salary were to double. He’d still only make $1.5 million (which is what Brendan Morrison earned this year). Something in the range of $1.5-2.5 million sounds fair to us.
Name: Tomas Fleischmann
‘09-10 stats: 69 games played, 23 goals, 28 assists, 51 points
3-year average: 72 game played, 17 goals, 22 assists, 39 points
Outlook: No player on this list will be tougher to figure out than Fleischmann. With 23 goals and 28 assists for 51 points in 69 regular-season games, the 25-year-old definitely put up respectable numbers this year for the Caps.
The problem for Fleischmann continues to be his postseason contributions, or more accurately, his lack of postseason contributions. Three goals and two assists for five points and a -3 plus/minus in 22 career playoff games simply isn’t good enough.
Everyone who follows the Capitals know that forward Alexander Semin is so afraid of contact that he goes out of his way to avoid going to the net or digging the puck out of the corners. Does Fleischmann fall into the same category and we just hadn’t noticed it before now? It’s tough to say.
Like Fehr, Fleischmann is also eligible for arbitration. This season, he took home $725,000, which is the same salary as fourth-line center David Steckel. Now, here’s the million-dollar question: let’s say McPhee has to choose between Fleischmann and Fehr. The former racked up 13 more points in the regular season, but was nonexistent in the playoffs. The latter was one of the few bright spots for Washington against Montreal. If there’s not room for both, it’ll be interesting to see which player stays and which one is shown the door.
Name: Boyd Gordon
‘09-10 stats: 36 games played, 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points
3-year average: 55 games played, 5 goals, 8 assists, 13 points
Outlook: Back problems limited Gordon to 36 games this season, which is too bad because Gordon definitely provides a skill set that the Capitals benefit from when he’s healthy. Gordon is solid on faceoffs and excels on the penalty kill. Feel free to take a look at the team’s pitiful numbers when down a man and think how much worse they’d be without Gordon in the rotation.
If Gordon is willing to sign in the $1.5-1.75 million ballpark, then the Caps would be wise to lock him up for a while. If he’s looking for a much larger payday, then he should call the New York Rangers.
Name: Jeff Schultz
‘09-10 stats: 73 games played, 3 goals, 20 assists, 23 points
3-year average: 69 games played, 3 goals, 14 assists, 17 points
Outlook: Jeff “Freaking” Schultz led the NHL with a plus/minus rating of 50. Seriously, how improbable is that? Aside from Backstrom, no other free-agent-to-be should see a larger increase in salary than Schultz. That’s what happens when a player earning $715,000 finishes the season as a league leader in an important statistical category.
Schultz isn’t an offensive juggernaut. He isn’t the second coming of Scott Stevens, forcing all opposing players to look twice before crossing the blue line. He’s simply quietly effective. For that reason alone, we figure the Capitals will find a way to make Schultz happy without breaking the bank.
Unrestricted free agents
Name: Eric Belanger
‘09-10 stats: 17 games played, 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points (with Washington)
‘09-10 stats: 60 games played, 13 goals, 22 assists, 35 points (with Minnesota)
3-year average: 77 games played, 13 goals, 24 assists, 37 points
Outlook: Belanger is good, but not great. He’s solid on faceoffs and like Gordon, is very good at killing penalties. He’s also such a good team player that he can lose seven teeth and still make it back onto the ice for his next shift. He’s already said he’d like to stay in Washington, but whether or not that happens will depend largely on what salary demands he makes.
Belanger earned $1.75 this season. If he’s willing to stay under the $2 million mark to leave room for then he could return. If not, then he’ll likely be elsewhere next season.
Name: Joe Corvo
‘09-10 stats: 18 games played, 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points (with Washington)
‘09-10 stats: 34 games played, 4 goals, 8 assists, 12 points (with Carolina)
3-year average: 69 games played, 11 goals, 23 assists, 34 points
Outlook: Corvo made $2.75 million this season. He’s an offensive-minded defenseman who isn’t very good in his own end. That’s a lot of money to spend on a guy who isn’t helping your team’s biggest weakness. Dude’s gone.
Name: Brendan Morrison
‘09-10 stats: 74 games played, 12 goals, 30 assists, 42 points
3-year average: 64 games played, 12 goals, 20 assists, 32 points
Outlook: Morrison played very well in small spurts. Unfortunately, he also went long stretches without bringing much of anything to the table. His $1.5 million salary this season was reasonable, but his output is easily replaceable. Basically what we’re saying is, we’d be surprised if Morrison was still in town this time next year.
Name: Shaone Morrisonn
‘09-10 stats: 68 games played, 1 goal, 11 assists, 12 points
3-year average: 72 games played, 1 goal, 10 assists, 11 points
Outlook: Morrisonn is a very solid player and is one of the few players on this team who is willing and able to get physical with the opposition. The problem is, he’s 27 and likely looking for a sizeable raise. We’re not sure how much higher (Morrisonn made $1.975 million this season) the Capitals can go.
With McPhee already saying that John Carlson and Karl Alzner will be mainstays on the blue line for Washington next year, it wouldn’t be shocking if the team let Morrisonn go to make room for the highly-skilled duo.
Name: Jose Theodore
‘09-10 stats: 47 games played, 30-7-7 record, 2.81 GAA, .911 save percentage
3-year average: 52 games played, 30-15-5 record, 2.55 GAA, .906 save percentage
Outlook: Theodore closed out the regular season by going 20-0-3. And then he promptly got himself pulled after allowing two goals on two shots in the second playoff game and that was the last we heard of Theodore.
He’s a likeable guy and a consummate professional, but the truth is that Theodore makes too much money to keep around. His $4.5 million salary was fourth highest on the Caps this season (behind only Ovechkin, Semin and Mike Green). That’s a luxury this team cannot afford; not with Semyon Varlamov, Michal Neuvirth and even Braden Holtby all waiting in the wings.
Name: Scott Walker
Position: right wing
‘09-10 stats: 9 games played, 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points (with Washington)
‘09-10 stats: 60 games played, 13 goals, 22 assists, 35 points (with Carolina)
3-year average: 47 games played, 8 goals, 10 assists, 18 points
Outlook: Um … yeah. He’s gone too.
Name: Anton Volchenkov
‘09-10 stats: 64 games played, 4 goals, 10 assists, 14 points (with Ottawa)
3-year average: 47 games played, 8 goals, 10 assists, 18 points
Outlook: Okay, so technically Volchenkov shouldn’t be listed here, since he’s technically never played for the Caps. And yeah, he’s scored just seven goals and 32 assists in his last three seasons … combined. But that’s not important.
The seven-year veteran is everything a team could ever dream of in terms of a defensive defenseman. Since the NHL began keeping blocked shots as a stat in 2005-06, Volchenkov has blocked 1,023. That’s 120 more than anyone else in professional hockey. And he’s Russian. Aren’t the Caps Mother Russia’s favorite team anyway? That’s reason enough for us to sign him.
In a game against Washington back in February, Volchenkov had 11 blocked shots. The Caps, as a team, had four. So yeah, this guy would definitely fill a void. It’s tough to say how much a player as talented as Volchenkov will command on the open market, but if we were McPhee for a day, we’d find a way to sign the 28-year-old. Even if it meant moving a talented player such as Semin or Green to make room for him.
This postseason showed the Capitals need to make some adjustments. They might not need to radically overhaul their roster, but they would be wise to target a player like Volchenkov who would teach the rest of the Caps that it’s okay to take pride in defense. Not since Dikembe Mutumbo has there been an athlete this gifted at shot blocking.
If the Caps make just one move this offseason (after resigning Backstrom, of course), please let it be signing Volchenkov. Anything after that is a bonus.
May 3, 2010 at 8:02 am
Volchenkov has GOT to be a priority. He is Russian, which should help our chances of signing him. A lot of people want to complain that he doesn’t bring any offense…but the Caps don’t NEED offense. They scored a billion goals last season, and none of them mattered in the postseason.
May 3, 2010 at 8:11 am
I also think the Caps should take a long, hard look at moving Green to wing. Instead of an offensive-minded defenseman, he’d instantly become one of the premiere two-way forwards in the game. He’s got the speed and skill to make the switch. Sign Volchenkov and Belanger, and pair him with Schultz – then our top 2 lines and top 2 D-pairings would be:
Ovechkin, Backstrom, Knuble
Green, Belanger, Laich
Pretty impressive, I’d say.
May 3, 2010 at 8:19 am
Oh, and finally, lock up Eric Fehr. Its taken him a bit longer than it should have, but I think he’s ready to explode. Not sure why Gabby has held him back for so long, but I’d even be comfortable moving him up to the 2nd line, but he’s definitely ready to be a 3rd line mainstay.
May 3, 2010 at 8:45 am
I’m so with you on the Volchenkov call. But I feel I’m in the minority in that the +/- ratings of the entire Caps roster should be taken with a grain of salt — it doesn’t show the defensive capabilities of anyone on the team. They’re all artificially inflated by the offensive juggernaut the Caps produced.
I think the biggest call will be on this question — Are the Caps ready to go “all in” with Varly, Neuvy and Holtby as the goaltenders?
May 3, 2010 at 9:08 am
All of you who think Green should be traded or be moved to forward are high or don’t know much about hockey. He got caught in purgatory this year between trying to play in BB’s system (where he is an offensive threat) and trying to be the stay at home defender that Stevie Y wanted for the Canadian Olympic team.
Fact is he is an elite level offensive defensiveman and once he gets paired with a true stay at home Dman(sorry Shultzie you aren’t that guy) he will shine, in the regular season and postseason.
Volchenkov and Green would make an awesome D pairing.
May 3, 2010 at 9:34 am
I disagree with a lot of Capitals-related stories/blog posts on the web. This is not one of them. I pretty much agree with you on everything. Nice post GM McFanboy
May 3, 2010 at 9:59 am
Walker came from Carolina not Minnesota….
May 3, 2010 at 10:28 am
Do the Caps play playoff hockey in the regular season next year, boring the crowd, (because the next goal won’t end their season, so it is not as exciting) but learning how to play it?
Do the players actually play with the adjustments the coaches ask of them?
Either way, I hope they don’t let the Capstronaut back in the building because it is his fault. LOOK AT ME!!! LOOK AT ME!!! He kept distracting Green.
May 3, 2010 at 10:57 am
Great stuff as always.
Firstly, not to start with a negative, but Ovie has 11 more years left on his deal.
Secondly, I’m definitely hoping for Volchenkov. Shot blockers are needed. Moving Green to the wing would be great, but I doubt it’ll happen. Keeping Fehr and Schultz is huge — I don’t think Flash will be back. (More on that another time.)
May 3, 2010 at 4:58 pm
Semin straight up for just about any player willing to go into corner. Fancy curl and drags look pretty in reg season but dont work in playoffs. Keep Belanger and Chimera. Both have playoff mindset. Im fine with Backstrom not being talked about. He’s like our little secret. Biggest mistake was not going back to Theo for him to redeem his play. He was the man for 2 straight months.
May 3, 2010 at 10:56 pm
I agree with you completely. Nuf’ said?
May 4, 2010 at 11:05 am
What I don’t get is when people talk about moving Green and Semin because, supposedly, scoring goals is not our problem and defense is. Green and Semin are a big reason scoring goals is “not a problem” — their primary role is offensive (yes, there are other things to defense than strict defense, namely, moving the puck up ice, which Green is an expert at) — and to pin the playoff loss on them is extremely unfair, given the entire team’s failure to score. Indeed, the loss to Montreal was ultimately an offensive failure, so I’m wondering what Volchenkov would bring to the table, as opposed to Green, that the Caps actually would have NEEDED in order to beat them.
A Schultz-Volchenkov pairing? What’s the philosophy behind that? A big part of the Caps’ success this year (and potentially in the playoffs — see Corvo’s robbed shot) is at least one of the D-men in each pairing getting involved in offense.
May 4, 2010 at 11:06 am
P.S. I agree with Kyle.
May 4, 2010 at 4:48 pm
What about Jurcina and Laing? They might not have played much, but they’re on the team and are UFAs? Did we trade back for Jurcina assuming he’d play in the 2nd/3rd round of the playoffs but have no intention of keeping him for next year?