(photo by Brian Murphy)
With nine games remaining in the regular season, the time is now for the Washington Capitals to turn their attention to the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Sure, there’s still an outside chance the Caps could overtake tonight’s opponent – the Philadelphia Flyers – and finish the regular season as the top team in the Eastern Conference for a second consecutive year, but that shouldn’t be a priority.
After all, the Capitals have managed to get bounced from the playoffs each of the last three seasons while having “home-ice advantage.”
Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Montreal each came into the Verizon Center and won a Game 7, so maybe switching things up isn’t a terrible idea.
Getting healthy and mentally prepared for a postseason run should be the only concern – which is why I’m completely on board with resting captain Alex Ovechkin now.
He’s won everything there is to win in the regular season. He’s been an elite regular season player since the day he came to Washington.
But careers aren’t defined by regular season accomplishments and accolades. As Ovechkin very well knows, legends are made in the playoffs.
Which would you rather have: a 50-goal scorer who suffers a first-round loss or a 30-goal scorer who is still playing meaningful games in the first week of June?
Yeah, me too.
And the same holds true for the Caps as a whole.
This isn’t the WNBA. The Capitals don’t need to raise a banner into the rafters to celebrate that fans show up for their games.
Bruce Boudreau’s Capitals have had plenty of regular season success (going 183-77-38 the last four years). But, at 13-15, the team’s playoff record is a lot less sparkling.
So there’s no reason whatsoever for players to max themselves out during the last nine games of the season in hopes of winning the conference or keeping ahead of Tampa Bay in the division.
Just last season the Flyers were the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference and they got hot at the right time and made it all the way to the Stanley Cup finals.
No one cares what seed they were when they started. No one remembers that Philly had 33 less points than Washington when the regular season came to an end. The only thing that matters is where you finish in the playoffs.
But a few things need to happen for the Capitals to have any real chance during this postseason.
For starters, Ovechkin and a slew of his teammates – namely forwards Nicklas Backstrom, Jason Arnott, Eric Fehr as well as defensemen Mike Green and Tom Poti – need to get healthy. Or healthier.
No one is ever truly 100 percent this time of year (well, except D.J. King, who has played in just 15 more games than I have for Washington this season).
When healthy, the Capitals have one of the deepest rosters in hockey. Of course, that doesn’t really do you any good if half of the top-dollar talent is showing up for games in a suit and tie.
And the second, and most important, thing that needs to happen down the stretch is that Boudreau needs to decide which goalie he wants in net once the postseason starts.
A strong case can be made for Michal Neuvirth, Semyon Varlamov or Braden Holtby. Each is 22 or younger and all have shown signs of being able to carry the load.
But the problem the Capitals have faced in previous postseasons is picking the wrong goalie and then having to make a switch midway through a playoff series.
Making the right call on day one makes it that much easier for everyone involved. My good buddy, Neil Greenberg, dove into the numbers in hopes of figuring out which goaltender gives the Caps the best chance at postseason success and came up with Varlamov.
Nothing against Neil or even Varlamov, but if it were up to me I’d give the nod to Neuvirth.
First of all, Varlamov is simply incapable of remaining healthy for any length of time. That’s why Varlamov has started just 22 games for Washington this season, while Neuvirth has 40 starts and Holtby has 11.
It’s why we haven’t seen him in more than a month. I’m only half kidding when I say that Varlamov’s groin is the most talked-about body part in our nation’s capital since Bill Clinton was in office.
He’s a fragile snow flake, and for that reason, the Caps would be wise to bank on someone else when the season is on the line.
And if there was any doubt in my mind who that deserves to be, it was put to rest when Japers’ Rink posted this conversation ender – Neuvirth has never lost a playoff series since he came to North America four seasons ago.
Read that again – no one has ever beaten the guy. Neuvirth has an amazing 51-16 record with a 2.17 goals against average and a .929 save percentage over that span while backstopping two titles for Hershey in the American Hockey League and one for Plymouth.
The only time his team failed to win a championship was in 2007-08 when Neuvirth was injured.
So basically, the guy who has been the Capitals’ workhorse all season long has a playoff resume that franchises dream of. The youngster has been a winner on every level and seems more than capable of carrying the load for Washington.
The only question now is does Boudreau feel the same way. For the sake of everyone involved, we all better hope so.
March 22, 2011 at 9:01 am
I’m right with you on this one, and I’ve been saying it since the first time I watched Neuvirth play. He is the better choice for the Caps for the playoffs. Varlamov has positively unholy luck, and the most brittle groin in the NHL. Holtby has a great stick, but needs more experience before he can really challenge for #1 in Washington. Neuvirth will take this team far.
March 22, 2011 at 9:02 am
I can’t disagree with anything you’ve said. Varly’s health has been a concern ever since he got here. The KHL travel schedule doesn’t allow for back to back games and is far less rigorous than the NHL. He’s not suited for the long haul in the North American theatre of combat.
March 22, 2011 at 9:17 am
I’m with you, Homer — Neuvirth’s the guy, or at least should be, or the playoffs this year. Last week in a chat with a Detroit site I defended Neuvy:
“Varly has the biggest upside, but never seems to be healthy. Neuvy is the most consistent. Holtby’s hot right now but makes the other two look like grizzed vets. Thus: Go into the playoffs starting Neuvy, with Varly as backup. Let Holtby lead the AHL Hershey Bears to the Calder Cup, and bring him back to DC next season.”
March 22, 2011 at 11:23 am
BTW – This is a “problem” that the Redskins could only dream of having…but I can’t talk about it or I’ll start sobbing. I say put Neuvy in net for the playoffs and call it a day.
March 22, 2011 at 12:53 pm
It baffles me that we have to come out and discuss it. It should be obvious.
March 23, 2011 at 2:21 pm
It’s kind of a “no brainer”. Let’s face it, there are only 9 games left in the regular season and Varly hasn’t played in over a month! Neuvy’s been solid all season.
I’ve heard the Caps have already decided on Neuvy to start…just keeping everything close to the vest.
March 23, 2011 at 3:32 pm
After reading this, i agree.
I would be comfortable going into the playoffs with Neuvy starting and Varly on the bench. At first i was against the idea; but Varly is use to coming off the bench.
Plus, how do you go against a guy who has never lost a series in North America (even if he is due); the dude is made for that special zone we’re gonna need him to be in come playoffs